Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1246.974013 1417.174149 1606.334141 1832.902312 2097.874600 2399.120008 2769.182314
2025-09-14 954.207268 1169.589917 1431.317210 1775.763722 2221.563275 2785.120688 3561.148460
2025-09-21 792.825132 1020.253061 1313.165697 1723.645971 2292.991930 3068.276086 4227.517607
2025-09-28 677.152148 904.677983 1211.250865 1662.718295 2324.725131 3282.752236 4817.502072
2025-10-05 626.940544 866.883674 1203.954756 1723.940482 2527.827620 3761.690412 5877.467664
2025-10-12 577.351247 822.057584 1178.345098 1750.626646 2677.571364 4177.249816 6913.451118
2025-10-19 533.457915 779.470744 1149.226030 1765.075206 2805.758961 4573.215779 7991.261335
2025-10-26 495.780404 741.564216 1121.799636 1776.546618 2927.351817 4973.158552 9155.942110
2025-11-02 471.363234 721.278438 1118.982104 1826.702469 3120.433752 5528.986933 10743.256491
2025-11-09 445.826160 696.346088 1105.341896 1855.362506 3277.049337 6040.542844 12357.212250
2025-11-16 421.402271 670.723691 1087.484073 1873.416673 3414.799805 6536.392418 14055.596288
2025-11-23 400.057405 648.191931 1072.359484 1893.936763 3559.071621 7068.955496 15973.961841
2025-11-30 382.272020 630.878077 1065.838687 1932.210226 3750.118435 7749.235184 18482.827520
2025-12-07 352.300037 589.743792 1012.730339 1873.865369 3730.875282 7957.363055 19828.975939
2025-12-14 325.896919 552.822232 963.937276 1818.277882 3708.967806 8154.296172 21202.444227
2025-12-21 300.955607 516.644793 913.395873 1753.424541 3657.008443 8268.928583 22374.077874
2025-12-28 293.893053 512.914596 924.389250 1818.594492 3913.615707 9210.300244 26398.211710
2026-01-04 283.098746 501.239063 918.702012 1847.009427 4087.352239 9972.668178 30132.716026
2026-01-11 271.737526 487.570183 907.759912 1862.395960 4231.441051 10685.711696 33980.029922
2026-01-18 260.915592 474.122712 896.053688 1874.613055 4369.482860 11412.915356 38185.199413
2026-01-25 254.735004 469.370392 901.851212 1928.039290 4624.365025 12548.325334 44508.482990
2026-02-01 246.826448 460.534020 898.222462 1958.575352 4822.758244 13559.188906 50822.284954
2026-02-08 238.453330 450.137508 890.337855 1977.813980 4993.163740 14523.932335 57443.131856